Current rates and mechanisms of subsea permafrost degradation in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf

نویسندگان

  • Natalia Shakhova
  • Igor Semiletov
  • Orjan Gustafsson
  • Valentin Sergienko
  • Leopold Lobkovsky
  • Oleg Dudarev
  • Vladimir Tumskoy
  • Michael Grigoriev
  • Alexey Mazurov
  • Anatoly Salyuk
  • Roman Ananiev
  • Andrey Koshurnikov
  • Denis Kosmach
  • Alexander Charkin
  • Nicolay Dmitrevsky
  • Victor Karnaukh
  • Alexey Gunar
  • Alexander Meluzov
  • Denis Chernykh
چکیده

The rates of subsea permafrost degradation and occurrence of gas-migration pathways are key factors controlling the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS) methane (CH4) emissions, yet these factors still require assessment. It is thought that after inundation, permafrost-degradation rates would decrease over time and submerged thaw-lake taliks would freeze; therefore, no CH4 release would occur for millennia. Here we present results of the first comprehensive scientific re-drilling to show that subsea permafrost in the near-shore zone of the ESAS has a downward movement of the ice-bonded permafrost table of ∼14 cm year-1 over the past 31-32 years. Our data reveal polygonal thermokarst patterns on the seafloor and gas-migration associated with submerged taliks, ice scouring and pockmarks. Knowing the rate and mechanisms of subsea permafrost degradation is a prerequisite to meaningful predictions of near-future CH4 release in the Arctic.

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عنوان ژورنال:

دوره 8  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017